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Matthew Syed

Black box thinking

Everyone appreciates the concept of learning from failures, yet few actually do, often hiding their errors and repeating them. To change this, consider the aviation industry's use of black boxes that record every detail of a flight. These devices ensure that when accidents happen, the lessons are shared and learned. Similarly, in complex organizations, implementing a system to capture all actions and outcomes, rather than ignoring mistakes, fosters a culture where learning from failure is encouraged. This approach emphasizes that progress comes from understanding and addressing failures, not assigning blame. Embracing failure as a step towards success is essential for growth in any field, from entrepreneurship to parenting, by acknowledging errors and creating an environment where it's acceptable to fail.

Black box thinking
Black box thinking

book.chapter The art of embracing failure

The text provided discusses the importance of learning from failures and mistakes, using examples from various sectors such as aviation, healthcare, and politics. It emphasizes that beneath every achievement, there's a heap of failures that were instrumental in determining what doesn't work. The true essence of human advancement in any domain isn't about striving for perfection, but rather learning from our blunders. This is more challenging than it appears, as our minds are naturally predisposed to ignore uncomfortable truths, even when it's clearly beneficial for us to learn how to improve. The aviation industry is one of the most safety-critical sectors today. All commercial planes are equipped with two nearly indestructible flight recorders that capture cockpit conversations, instructions sent to the plane's onboard electronic systems, and a range of other crucial data. In the event of an air accident, the first step is to publicly release the data from these flight recorders. This allows the cause of the accident to be determined and procedures to be reviewed and, if necessary, immediately altered to prevent a similar crash from happening again. In contrast, the healthcare industry treats each death as a tragic standalone event. No effort is made to learn from these occurrences, but instead, healthcare adopts a "closed loop" approach to each patient death. As a result, little or no learning occurs. The text also discusses the concept of cognitive dissonance, which is an inner tension which you might feel if your personal beliefs are challenged by new evidence to the contrary. This is the ultimate form of a closed loop because with cognitive dissonance, people refuse to accept factual information solely because it threatens their self-esteem. Therefore, they enter into denial because that is less emotionally taxing than admitting a mistake. The solution to cognitive dissonance, according to the text, is black box thinking. If you insist on letting the facts speak for themselves and learning from your mistakes, cognitive dissonance won't arise. You will act rationally and intelligently because you're basing your actions on evidence, not conjecture. You act on reality, not the way you wish things were.

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