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Cover of 'Confronting reality'

Confronting reality

Larry Bossidy, Ram Charan

Prioritizing for success

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Description

To stay successful, businesses must regularly reevaluate their purpose, direction, and assumptions to reflect ongoing marketplace changes. Rather than relying on outdated assumptions, companies should ask - What is today's reality in our industry? Where is our industry heading? And how can we sustain profitability?

With clarity on those questions, managers can analyze how to connect financial targets, the external environment, and internal capabilities into an integrated business model. This central model must then iterate continually - confronting reality as it is now rather than wishing it were different.

Through constant iteration, the business model is upgraded to be more reality-based, creating more value. Confronting changing realities must be a leadership priority at all levels - recognizing disruptive forces rather than denying them. Savvy leaders confront reality as a matter of course.

Table of contents

01

Confronting reality head on

We are entering a new era of business driven by globalization that renders old ways of operating obsolete. Denying this reality is futile - we must confront the sweeping changes head-on, seizing the opportunities that arise. The alternative is growing irrelevance. To succeed, business leaders need an unflinching view of the external landscape. Four key economic shifts currently reshape markets worldwide:

First, virtually every company now competes globally in some form. Any business activity can instantly attain international scale, enabling new rivals to emerge anywhere. Good ideas get rapidly copied, funded, and made available globally via digital networks. National borders no longer constrain the flow of knowledge and capital. Firms must now benchmark themselves against international competitors, often outsourcing support functions to specialized providers overseas.

Second, abundant investment capital now crosses borders at lightning speed seeking higher returns. Finance has become boundaryless, with few constraints on capital flows. Banks now distribute various funds with differing risk profiles rather than regulate overall capital flows themselves. Secondary markets and derivatives also let lenders resell loans freely. Consequently, vast sums can enter or exit entire industries instantly, with investment risks readily repackaged and resold.

Third, excess production capacity has shifted power from producers and investors to consumers and giant retailers like Walmart. New entrants still attract ample funding from incumbents hoping to remain post-shakeout. But rampant oversupply means buyers rule in most sectors. Mass retailers battle ruthlessly for market share, squeezing both margins and performance from suppliers. Many sectors now face structural decline, unable to sustain viable pricing.

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02

Using models to assess reality

A robust business model provides an organized framework to systematically assess the health and profitability of an enterprise. It serves as an early warning system for impending changes in the business environment and highlights emerging opportunities. An effective business model also evaluates potential actions to gain insight into what will likely succeed or fail in the future. The core components of a practical business model include:

An accurate description of the external operating environment is essential. This encompasses the current consumer trends, technological advances, global influences, government regulations and new competitors that generate threats and opportunities. Examining the recent financial performance of the industry provides useful context. Aspects to consider include profitability, returns to shareholders, growth rates, profit margins and cash flow. The customer base is a vital asset, so identifying risks as well as strategies to expand and strengthen differentiation is valuable. Conducting a root cause analysis of industry trends and issues yields insight. For instance, determining why some firms thrive while the overall industry struggles or pinpointing the specific factors catalyzing changes. This level of scrutiny elucidates why events unfold in certain ways.

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03

Changing what matters

A robust and up-to-date business model helps leaders decide what needs changing to respond to shifts in the business landscape and what should remain untouched. Both dimensions matter. Skilled leaders precisely target components requiring attention or harnessing to capitalize on fresh opportunities while leaving other areas alone. More than anything, utilizing the business model brings rationality to change, guiding when and what to alter versus retain. There is a need to strike the right balance, as excessive change can damage organizations as much as total resistance does. In the U.S., markets and media portray change as the cure-all for corporate troubles. New heads often initiate reforms just to imprint organizations. Firms readily divest, acquire, restructure, implement productivity enhancements, reallocate assets, or transform cultures. This penchant for change is less prominent in Europe and Asia. Consultants, academics, and authors provide abundant techniques to evolve aspects of business models like strategy, efficiency, and customer relations. However, fixing the model itself proves much harder. If no industry player ever devised a profitable model, that likely signals time to exit before draining resources. A sound business model takes a proactive, not solely reactive, stance. It swiftly identifies and gets ahead of external shifts enabling realistic, positive changes. Additionally, it filters the leader's personal tastes from necessities. This helps when buzzwords like "reinvention" or "reengineering" see forceful promotion.

Consider examples of companies leveraging their models to determine what to change versus leave intact. Home Depot rapidly expanded in the 1990s before growth stalled by decade's end. Incoming CEO Robert Nardelli consulted the model template and found: a $900 billion market space offering stability; financial objectives out of balance from aggressively chasing sales growth by adding 200+ stores annually without centralized oversight causing excessive capital expenditures despite $45 billion turnover and mere $200 million reserves; start-up-like status lacking supply chain management, information infrastructure, leadership pipeline. Nardelli initiated iterative moves like investing in tracking technologies and combined purchasing power while building internal training systems and prioritizing productivity and efficiency over store openings. Some initiatives alienated employees accustomed to independence, failed from poor execution, or stemmed from inaccurate demand forecasts. With stock falling over 60% to $22 per share, media questioned Nardelli's fitness. Acknowledging mistakes, he stuck to model aims, urging investors to weigh cash and earnings, not just revenue, with board backing. Soon results appeared: over three years, sales climbed 42%, earnings 65%, and cash ballooned from $200 million to $2.9 billion despite dividends and buybacks. By 2004, stock rebounded to mid-thirties, the once-endangered culture realigned.

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04

Preparing for future shifts

An effective business model is a great tool for helping organizations confront realities and prepare for the future. Using the model properly will assist in identifying changes earlier, upgrading culture, and developing necessary leadership. The external realities component tends to shift most rapidly, bringing emerging threats and opportunities. Organizations that deeply understand external forces have an advantage in seeing around corners and reorienting accordingly.

Ongoing gathering of external information, rather than one-time efforts, allows more proactive responses. This involves adopting a mindset of wanting to understand why customer preferences and other factors are changing and what implications they may have. It means continually collecting relevant facts in conversations with staff, at industry events, through firsthand experiences and research. Encouraging regular debate across the organization around current and potential future external scenarios is also key. Additionally, forging direct customer connections to map needs to offerings can provide useful insights. With recurring examination of the full environment, organizations can look ahead and integrate findings into planning and decisions.

While awareness of necessary changes is crucial, ability to actually implement adjustments is equally vital. The capacity to substantially evolve strategies and operations governs flexibility to adapt business models. Initiatives - major cross-functional projects - can condition corporate cultures to be more responsive. Effective initiatives have certain key features: clear high-impact purpose teaching cooperation towards worthwhile goals, proper leadership with CEO commitment, careful design minimizing unintended problems, realistic resourcing assessments, smart pacing balancing integration capacity with urgency, small initial steps enabling competency development prior to scale, always pushing people to learn, and moving the organization forward tangibly.

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